Many on the left will tell us that Pres Obama’s reelection is a foregone conclusion and just as many on the right will tells us that a one-term presidency is a certainty.
What’s the truth as usual it is somewhere in the middle. The 2012 election is going to be a dog fight and it will likely not be decided until Election Day, as voters weight the state of the economy, their fears of the future and their hopes for real change against the messages of both sides.
As Mr. Obama moves toward a full-throated campaign, delivering a State of the Union address on Tuesday and inching closer to directly confronting his Republican challenger, a majority of independent voters have soured on his presidency, disapprove of how he has dealt with the economy and do not have a clear idea of what he hopes to accomplish if re-elected.
Americans are going to ask themselves if they are better off now than they were in January 2009 and under whose presidency will their future likely be the brightest.
The answer to that question, despite assurance from talking heads on both sides of political aisle, is very much in doubt.
The swing voters who will play a pivotal role in determining his political fate are up for grabs, the poll found, with just 31 percent expressing a favorable opinion of Mr. Obama. Two-thirds of independent voters say he has not made real progress fixing the economy.
Portions of the groundswell of support that swept Pres Obama into office in 2008 have become disenchanted with him as his administration has unfolded in Washington.
But Mr. Obama, whose job approval rating remains essentially frozen in the 40s, has considerable work to do rebuilding the coalition of voters who sent him to the White House. Independent voters have concerns about Mr. Obama on a variety of measures, including 6 in 10 who say the president does not share their priorities for the country.
“I trusted Obama would bring fresh ideas to the country and improve the economy, even though he was not experienced. It didn’t happen,” said Jay Hernandez, 54, a credit manager from Miami who said that he is not aligned with either party, in a follow-up interview. “If there were another Democratic candidate I might reconsider, but I won’t vote for Barrack Obama.”
So with the base losing faith in Hope and Change and the moderates and independents abandoning ship the Obama presidency is vulnerable, if (and that is a big if) the Republicans are able to close ranks and take advantage of that vulnerability.
Your comments, counterpoints and remarks are welcome and appreciated.




